<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD JATS (Z39.96) Journal Publishing DTD v1.3 20210610//EN" "JATS-journalpublishing1-3.dtd">
<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">novtexmech</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Мехатроника, автоматизация, управление</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Mekhatronika, Avtomatizatsiya, Upravlenie</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1684-6427</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2619-1253</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Commercial Publisher «New Technologies»</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.17587/mau.16.841-847</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">novtexmech-240</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>УПРАВЛЕНИЕ ТЕХНИЧЕСКИМИ ОБЪЕКТАМИ И ТЕХНОЛОГИЧЕСКИМИ ПРОЦЕССАМИ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>CONTROL IN AEROSPACE SYSTEMS</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Разработка и исследование метода прогнозирования дистанции пробега самолета на посадке</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Research and Development of a Method for Forecasting of Rollout Distance of an Aircraft</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Шевченко</surname><given-names>А. М.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Shevchenko</surname><given-names>A. M.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">anshev@ipu.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Институт проблем управления им. В. А. Трапезникова РАН</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>V. A. Trapeznikov Institute of Control Sciences of Russian Academy of Sciences</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2015</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>28</day><month>08</month><year>2018</year></pub-date><volume>16</volume><issue>12</issue><fpage>841</fpage><lpage>847</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Commercial Publisher «New Technologies», 2018</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2018</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Commercial Publisher «New Technologies»</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Commercial Publisher «New Technologies»</copyright-holder><license xlink:href="https://mech.novtex.ru/jour/about/submissions#copyrightNotice" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>https://mech.novtex.ru/jour/about/submissions#copyrightNotice</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://mech.novtex.ru/jour/article/view/240">https://mech.novtex.ru/jour/article/view/240</self-uri><abstract><p>Разработан метод прогнозирования достижимости терминального состояния на режимах штатного или экстренного торможения самолетов. Методологической основой метода является энергетический подход к управлению движением летательных аппаратов. Для повышения достоверности прогноза предложен способ коррекции алгоритмов прогнозирования. Приведены оценки точности прогноза на основании результатов статистических испытаний алгоритма прогнозирования.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>Any aircraft mission includes a land movement phase. Such phases are carried out under control of a pilot. At this time the aircraft crew experiences high psychological stresses. Stressful conditions create prerequisites for improper or erroneous actions. Therefore, the human factor plays a decisive role in ensuring safety and accident free flights of the air transport. In order to improve the crews' situational awareness, the algorithmic methods for assessing of the current and predicting of the future movement of the aircraft were developed. The methods are based on the energy approach to the flight control. The well-known energy balance equation is generalized to the runway modes by adding a member, reflecting the absorption of energy to overcome the drag of the mechanical forces. The new member is presented in the following form: ∆ HE b= t1 t2 V kb dt , where kb is the normalized braking coefficient equal to the ratio of the total resistance forces from the chassis to the weight of an aircraft. Here HE  (*) = E (*)/ mg is the specific energy. The extended equation ∆ HE =∆ HE eng+∆ HE D+ HE b+∆ HE w describes how to change the total energy of an aircraft throughout its trajectory, including the ahead segment. The length of this segment is calculated from the conditions of achievement of the required final energy state. In the braking mode the final state is determined by a known speed taxiing. The target braking distance is described by the following equation: Db =0,5 V t 2- Vtaksiin t 2 / gnx t . However, this forecast does not take into account the change in the braking forces on the ahead lying trajectory. Therefore, in order to improve the reliability of forecasting the method of algorithms' correction was offered. The correction coefficients are the functions of the mass, velocity and braking coefficient. These functions are approximated by the polynomials up to degree-4. The computer research stand was developed, including the mathematical model of Tupolev Tu-204. The deterministic and statistical tests within the range of the aircraft mass of 70-105 tons, approach speed of 200-220 km/h and friction coefficient of 0,3-0,75 were performed. The estimates of the accuracy of the forecast on the basis of the tests are presented.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>энергетический подход</kwd><kwd>метод прогнозирования</kwd><kwd>информационная поддержка</kwd><kwd>посадка</kwd><kwd>energy approach</kwd><kwd>forecasting method</kwd><kwd>information support</kwd><kwd>landing</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Rallo N. The European Regional Aviation Safety Group (RASG-EUR) // FSFI International Workshop, 15 May, 2012.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Rallo N. The European Regional Aviation Safety Group (RASG-EUR) // FSFI International Workshop, 15 May, 2012.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit2"><label>2</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Rallo N. Runway safety: the big picture // ICAO Regional Runway Safety Seminar (RRSS). Moscow, 6-8 November, 2012.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Rallo N. Runway safety: the big picture // ICAO Regional Runway Safety Seminar (RRSS). Moscow, 6-8 November, 2012.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit3"><label>3</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Sharov V. Development of Overrun Prognosis System in Volga-Dnepr Airline // ICAO_Regional Runway Safety Seminar (RRSS). Moscow, 6-8 November, 2012.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Sharov V. Development of Overrun Prognosis System in Volga-Dnepr Airline // ICAO_Regional Runway Safety Seminar (RRSS). Moscow, 6-8 November, 2012.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit4"><label>4</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Jarinov S. Role of the Regulator // ICAO_Regional Runway Safety Seminar (RRSS). Moscow, 6-8 November, 2012.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Jarinov S. Role of the Regulator // ICAO_Regional Runway Safety Seminar (RRSS). Moscow, 6-8 November, 2012.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit5"><label>5</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Шаров В. Д. Методика оценки вероятности выкатывания воздушных судов за пределы ВПП при посадке // Научный вестник МГТУ гражданской авиации. 2007. № 122.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Шаров В. Д. Методика оценки вероятности выкатывания воздушных судов за пределы ВПП при посадке // Научный вестник МГТУ гражданской авиации. 2007. № 122.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit6"><label>6</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Statistical Summary of Commercial Jet Airplane Accidents. Worldwide Operations 1959-2012. Boeing. August 2012. URL: http:// www.boelng.com/news/techlssues/pdf/statsum.pdf</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Statistical Summary of Commercial Jet Airplane Accidents. Worldwide Operations 1959-2012. Boeing. August 2012. URL: http:// www.boelng.com/news/techlssues/pdf/statsum.pdf</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit7"><label>7</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Кофман В. Д., Полтавец В. А., Теймуразов Р. А. Сравнительный анализ безопасности полетов отечественных и зарубежных самолетов // Транспортная безопасность и технологии. 2005. № 4 (5).</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Кофман В. Д., Полтавец В. А., Теймуразов Р. А. Сравнительный анализ безопасности полетов отечественных и зарубежных самолетов // Транспортная безопасность и технологии. 2005. № 4 (5).</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit8"><label>8</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Борисов В. Г., Павлов Б. В., Шевченко А. М. Средства информационной поддержки пилота в нештатных ситуациях // Матер. 7-й науч.-техн. конф. "Мехатроника, автоматизация, управление". СПб. ОАО "Концерн "ЦНИИ Электроприбор", 2010. С. 74-77.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Борисов В. Г., Павлов Б. В., Шевченко А. М. Средства информационной поддержки пилота в нештатных ситуациях // Матер. 7-й науч.-техн. конф. "Мехатроника, автоматизация, управление". СПб. ОАО "Концерн "ЦНИИ Электроприбор", 2010. С. 74-77.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit9"><label>9</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Шевченко А. М., Павлов Б. В., Начинкина Г. Н. Метод прогнозирования взлета самолета при наличии высотных препятствий // Изв. Южного федерального ун-та. Техн. науки. 2012. № 3. С. 167-172.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Шевченко А. М., Павлов Б. В., Начинкина Г. Н. Метод прогнозирования взлета самолета при наличии высотных препятствий // Изв. Южного федерального ун-та. Техн. науки. 2012. № 3. С. 167-172.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit10"><label>10</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Shevchenko A. M. Some Means for Informational Support of Airliner Pilot // 5th Int. Scientific Conf. on Physics and Control (Physcon 2011). Leon, Spain. Sept. 5-8, 2011. P. 1-5. URL: http://lib.physcon.ru/doc?id=78f90e41e746/</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Shevchenko A. M. Some Means for Informational Support of Airliner Pilot // 5th Int. Scientific Conf. on Physics and Control (Physcon 2011). Leon, Spain. Sept. 5-8, 2011. P. 1-5. URL: http://lib.physcon.ru/doc?id=78f90e41e746/</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit11"><label>11</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Kuznetsov A., Shevchenko A., Solonnikov Ju. The Methods of Forecasting Some Events During the Aircraft Takeoff and Landing // 19th IFAC Symposium on Automatic Control in Aerospace (ACA2013).Germany. 2013. P. 183-187.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Kuznetsov A., Shevchenko A., Solonnikov Ju. The Methods of Forecasting Some Events During the Aircraft Takeoff and Landing // 19th IFAC Symposium on Automatic Control in Aerospace (ACA2013).Germany. 2013. P. 183-187.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit12"><label>12</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Lambregts A. A. Vertical Flight Path and Speed Control Autopilot Design Using Total Energy Principles // AIAA Paper 83-2239CP. 1983. P. 559-569.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Lambregts A. A. Vertical Flight Path and Speed Control Autopilot Design Using Total Energy Principles // AIAA Paper 83-2239CP. 1983. P. 559-569.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit13"><label>13</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Kurdjukov A. P., Nachinkina G. N., Shevtchenko A. M. Energy approach to flight control // AIAA Conf. Navigation, Guidance &amp; Control. AAIA Paper 98-4211. Boston. 1998.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Kurdjukov A. P., Nachinkina G. N., Shevtchenko A. M. Energy approach to flight control // AIAA Conf. Navigation, Guidance &amp; Control. AAIA Paper 98-4211. Boston. 1998.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit14"><label>14</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Павлов Б. В., Шевченко А. М., Начинкина Г. Н. Энергетический подход и его использование для проектирования систем управления полетом // Актуальные проблемы авиационных и аэрокосмических систем. 2003. Вып. 2 (16), Т. 8. С. 24-43.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Павлов Б. В., Шевченко А. М., Начинкина Г. Н. Энергетический подход и его использование для проектирования систем управления полетом // Актуальные проблемы авиационных и аэрокосмических систем. 2003. Вып. 2 (16), Т. 8. С. 24-43.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref></ref-list><fn-group><fn fn-type="conflict"><p>The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.</p></fn></fn-group></back></article>
