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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">novtexmech</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Мехатроника, автоматизация, управление</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Mekhatronika, Avtomatizatsiya, Upravlenie</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1684-6427</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2619-1253</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Commercial Publisher «New Technologies»</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.17587/mau.24.421-432</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">novtexmech-1419</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>АВТОМАТИЗАЦИЯ И УПРАВЛЕНИЕ ТЕХНОЛОГИЧЕСКИМИ ПРОЦЕССАМИ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>AUTOMATION AND CONTROL TECHNOLOGICAL PROCESSES</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Гибридная модель для упреждающего управления температурой металла при горячем оцинковании стальной полосы</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Hybrid Model for Metal Temperature Control during Hot Dip Galvanizing of Steel Strip</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Рябчиков</surname><given-names>М. Ю.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Ryabchikov</surname><given-names>M. Yu.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>канд. техн. наук, доц.</p><p>г. Магнитогорск</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Ryabchikov Mikhail Yu., Cand. of Tech. Sc., Associate Professor</p><p>Magnitogorsk, 455000</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">mr_mgn@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Рябчикова</surname><given-names>Е. С.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Ryabchikova</surname><given-names>E. S.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>канд. техн. наук, доц.</p><p>г. Магнитогорск</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Magnitogorsk, 455000</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">e.ryabchikova@magtu.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Новак</surname><given-names>В. С.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Novak</surname><given-names>V. S.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>студент</p><p>г. Магнитогорск</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Magnitogorsk, 455000</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">vladimir.novak.02@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Магнитогорский государственный технический университет им. Г. И. Носова</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Nosov Magnitogorsk State Technical University</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2023</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>09</day><month>08</month><year>2023</year></pub-date><volume>24</volume><issue>8</issue><fpage>421</fpage><lpage>432</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Commercial Publisher «New Technologies», 2023</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2023</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Commercial Publisher «New Technologies»</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Commercial Publisher «New Technologies»</copyright-holder><license xlink:href="https://mech.novtex.ru/jour/about/submissions#copyrightNotice" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>https://mech.novtex.ru/jour/about/submissions#copyrightNotice</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://mech.novtex.ru/jour/article/view/1419">https://mech.novtex.ru/jour/article/view/1419</self-uri><abstract><p>Предложена гибридная модель для упреждающего управления при возмущениях, приводящих к резкому скачкообразному изменению состояния процесса. Подобные изменения происходят при управлении температурой стальной полосы на агрегатах непрерывного горячего оцинкования. Периодическое изменение сортамента полосы или ее скорости приводит к скачкообразным изменениям температуры стали на выходе из печи для отжига. В такие периоды регулирование по отклонению затруднено, что требует введения допусков, которые ограничивают производительность и приводят к избыточному нагреву металла. Показано, что существующие предложения по управлению температурой стальной полосы недостаточно эффективны при резком изменении состояния процесса. Причинами этого являются неизвестные возмущения, действующие в широком частотном диапазоне и имеющие низкочастотные и трендовые составляющие, а также множество влияющих факторов. Показано, что проблемы представительности исходных накопленных данных затрудняют создание сложных эмпирических моделей, а уровень неопределенности процессов в печи затрудняет создание сложных интерпретируемых моделей. Предложенная гибридная модель предполагает совместное применение двух видов упрощенных интерпретируемых моделей процесса, а также эмпирической модели на основе искусственной нейронной сети. Продемонстрировано, что ошибки интерпретируемых моделей могут эффективно прогнозироваться нейронной сетью при наличии дополнительного сигнала от наблюдателя неизвестных возмущений. Проведенные вычислительные эксперименты на данных одного из агрегатов ПАО «ММК» в России показали, что гибридная модель обеспечивает высокую точность прогноза температуры стальной полосы при технологических возмущениях и не требует частой перенастройки.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The paper proposes a hybrid model for predictive control under step disturbances that lead to a sharp jump in the state of the process. Similar changes occur when controlling the temperature of the steel strip on continuous hot-dip galvanizing units. Periodic changes in strip gauge or strip speed result in abrupt changes in the temperature of the steel at the outlet of the annealing furnace. During such periods deviation control is difficult requiring introduction of tolerances that limit productivity and leading to excessive heating of the metal. The paper shows that the existing proposals for controlling the temperature of the steel strip are not effective enough with a sharp change in the state of the process. The reasons for this are unknown disturbances operating in a wide frequency range and having low-frequency and trend components, as well as many influencing factors. It is shown that the problems of representativeness of the initial accumulated data make it difficult to create complex empirical models, and the level of uncertainty of the processes in the furnace makes it difficult to create complex interpretable models. The proposed hybrid model involves combining two types of simplified interpretable process models, as well as an empirical model based on an artificial neural network. The errors of the interpreted models are shown to be effectively predicted by a neural network in the presence of an additional signal from an observer of unknown disturbances. Computational experiments carried out on the data of one of the units of MMK PJSC in Russia showed that the hybrid model provides high accuracy of steel strip temperature prediction during technological disturbances and does not require frequent reconfiguration.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>скачкообразное возмущение</kwd><kwd>упреждающее управление</kwd><kwd>искусственная нейронная сеть</kwd><kwd>неопределенность</kwd><kwd>отжиг стальной полосы</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>step disturbance</kwd><kwd>predictive control</kwd><kwd>artificial neural network</kwd><kwd>uncertainty</kwd><kwd>steel strip annealing</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Никифоров Б. А., Салганик В. М., Денисов С. В., Стеканов П. А. 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